Presentation: Introduction to Forecasting

Track: Handling Sequential Data Like an Expert / ML Applied to Operations

Location: Cyril Magnin II

Duration: 9:00am - 9:10am

Day of week: Wednesday

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Forecasts are critical in many fields, including finance, manufacturing, and meteorology. At Uber, probabilistic time series forecasting is essential for marketplace optimization, accurate hardware capacity predictions, marketing spend allocations, and real-time system outage detection across millions of metrics.

In this talk I will provide an overview of classical, machine learning and deep learning forecasting approaches. In addition fundamental forecasting best practices will be covered.

Note: This is a short talk. Short talks are 10-minute talks designed to offer breadth across the areas of machine learning, artificial intelligence, and data engineering. The short talks are focused on the tools and practices of data science with an eye towards the software engineer.

Speaker: Franziska Bell

Senior Data Science Manager @Uber

Franziska Bell is lead data scientist of the Intelligent Decision Systems team at Uber, which focuses on developing new models for real-time outage and outlier detection. Since joining Uber in late 2014, these models have broken new ground in detection accuracy and speed whilst being sufficiently computationally tractable to be applied to 100,000s of time series in real-time. Before Uber, Franziska was a Postdoc at Caltech where she developed a novel, highly accurate approximate quantum molecular dynamics theory to calculate chemical reactions for large, complex systems, such as enzymes. Franziska earned her Ph.D. in theoretical chemistry from UC Berkeley focusing on developing highly accurate, yet computationally efficient approaches which helped unravel the mechanism of non-silicon-based solar cells and properties of organic conductors.

Find Franziska Bell at


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